1. Key points
- Estimated annual inflation in the UK service sector, as measured by the Services Producer Price Index (SPPI), continues to run at a relatively low level in quarter 3 of 2014.
- The aggregate SPPI rose 1.5% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014, compared with a rise of 1.3% in the year to quarter 2 of 2014.
- Between quarter 2 and quarter 3 of 2014 the aggregate SPPI rose 0.4%, compared with an increase of 0.3% between quarter 1 and 2.
- Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities, Transportation & Storage and Accommodation & Food made the greatest upward contributions to the annual rate of inflation in the aggregate SPPI.
2. What is Services Producer Price Inflation?
The Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) provides a measure of inflation for the UK service sector. It is constructed from a statutory quarterly survey which measures changes in the price received for selected services provided by UK businesses to other UK businesses and government. Individual SPPIs are available which provide information on price change for a selection of service industries. These individual price indices are also aggregated together to create a service industry SPPI with limited coverage (it does not provide full coverage of the 'service sector').
The primary use of the SPPI is as a deflator in the UK National Accounts. However, it is also important as an inflationary measure to inform monetary policy and to account for inflation in long-term service procurement contracts. For more information on the use made of the SPPI please see the separate document Users of Services Producer Price Indices data (67.2 Kb Pdf).
The figures presented in this Statistical Bulletin are considered provisional for the latest two quarters (quarter 2 and 3 of 2014) and maybe revised as late data is received.
None of the indices presented in this Bulletin are seasonally adjusted.
Coverage of SPPI
The service sector currently accounts for around 78% of the UK economy based on its weight in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). ONS does not currently produce an SPPI for every industry in the service sector and so the aggregate SPPI is a partial, best estimate, of the overall inflation to UK businesses in the service sector. Currently, ONS estimates that the SPPIs presented in this statistical bulletin represent 55-60% of the total service sector at industry level. As resources allow, ONS will continue to review the existing SPPIs and expand coverage through developing SPPIs for new industries. As such, the aggregate SPPI will change composition from time to time but will always remain ONS’ best estimate of inflation in the UK service sector. The fact that coverage may change over time should be considered by users when deciding which indices best meet their needs.
Newly developed SPPIs
A development project to increase the industrial coverage of the SPPI, took place between 2009 and 2012 and has resulted in the development of eight new SPPIs. These are:
Acountancy services
Legal services
Architectural services
Engineering services
Cargo handling services
Advertising services
Business management consultancy
Storage and warehousing.
Since their development, these indices have been published as experimental series in a separate article. Since the 2013 Q4 release, these indices are no longer published separately but instead are included in this release and make up part of the aggregate SPPI. The inclusion of these new indices has changed the composition of the aggregate SPPI, increasing the coverage of the service industry and improving the measure. Further information about the impact of adding these new indices to the aggregate can be found in the 2013 Q4 Statistical Bulletin.
All of the statistics contained in this release are official statistics. However, since these newly developed series have not yet undergone a full assessment against the Code of Practice for Official Statistics by the UK Statistics Authority they cannot currently be labelled as National Statistics.
Back to table of contents3. Summary
In quarter 3 of 2014, movements in the aggregate Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) were as follows:
Annual inflation rose 1.5%, compared with a rise of 1.3% in quarter 2 of 2014.
The main upward contributions to the annual rate came from Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities, Transportation & Storage and Accommodation & Food.
Between quarter 2 and quarter 3 of 2014 the aggregate SPPI rose 0.4%, compared with an increase of 0.3% between quarter 1 and 2 of 2014.
The main upward contribution to the quarterly rate came from Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities.
Annual inflation of the aggregate SPPI currently stands at 1.5% and has remained at around 1% since quarter 3 of 2010. Between mid 2005 and mid 2008, prices of the services captured by the aggregate SPPI rose steadily from an annual rate of 1.3% in quarter 2 of 2005 to a peak of 3.7% during quarters 1 and 2 of 2008. Annual inflation fell rapidly at the end of 2008 with the aggregate SPPI deflating (prices falling below the level of the same quarter a year earlier) at a rate of 1.6% by quarter 3 of 2009 (Figure A).
Table A: Aggregate Services Producer Price Index
United Kingdom | ||||
Percentage change | ||||
Year | Quarter | |||
2012 | Q3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | |
Q4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | ||
2013 | Q1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | |
Q2 | 0.8 | -0.2 | ||
Q3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | ||
Q4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | ||
2014 | Q1 | 0.8 | -0.1 | |
Q2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | ||
Q3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | ||
Source: Office for National Statistics | ||||
Notes: | ||||
1. The aggregate SPPI is calculated on a gross sector basis | ||||
2. The aggregate SPPI is an aggregate of the individual industry level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. It does not provide full coverage of the service sector | ||||
3. Not all of the industry level SPPIs used to construct the aggregate SPPI are National Statistics |
Download this table Table A: Aggregate Services Producer Price Index
.xls (25.6 kB)
Figure A: Aggregate Services Producer Price Index
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- The aggregate SPPI is calculated on a gross sector basis
- The aggregate SPPI is an aggregate of the individual industry-level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. It does not provide full coverage of the service sector
- Not all of the industry-level SPPIs used to construct the aggregate SPPI are National Statistics
Download this chart Figure A: Aggregate Services Producer Price Index
Image .csv .xls4. Annual inflation
The aggregate Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) increased by 1.5% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014, up from a rise of 1.3% in the year to quarter 2 of 2014.
Of the ten sections (as defined by the Standard Industrial Classification) that are combined to form the aggregate SPPI, eight showed price increases.
The main upward contributions to the annual rate of the aggregate SPPI came from Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities, which increased by 2.0% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014 (up from a rise of 1.3% in the year to quarter 2 of 2014), Transportation & Storage, which increased 1.4% (down from an increase of 1.7% in the year to quarter 2 of 2014) and Accommodation & Food, which rose 4.1% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014 (down from an increase of 8.2% in the year to quarter 2 of 2014). Only Water Supply, Sewerage & Waste Management and Information & Communication showed decreases in the annual rate of inflation (Table B and Figure B).
Table B: Annual growth rate to quarter 3 2014 (percentage change, latest quarter on corresponding quarter of previous year)
United Kingdom | |
Section | Percentage change |
Water Supply, Sewerage & Waste Management | -0.2 |
Repair & Maintenance of Motor Vehicles | 2.7 |
Transportation & Storage | 1.4 |
Accommodation & Food | 4.1 |
Information & Communication | -0.2 |
Real Estate Activities | 2.9 |
Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities | 2.0 |
Administrative & Support Services | 1.0 |
Education | 1.5 |
Other Services | 1.1 |
Aggregate SPPI | 1.5 |
Source: Office for National Statistics | |
Notes: | |
1. The section-level SPPIs are an aggregate of individual industry level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. They do not provide full coverage of the service sector | |
2. Not all of the industry level SPPIs used to construct the section-level SPPIs are National Statistics |
Download this table Table B: Annual growth rate to quarter 3 2014 (percentage change, latest quarter on corresponding quarter of previous year)
.xls (26.6 kB)
Figure B: Contribution to annual growth rate (1.5%), quarter 3 2014
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- The section-level SPPIs are an aggregate of individual industry-level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. They do no provide full coverage of the sections listed
- Not all of the industry-level SPPIs used to construct the section-level SPPIs are National Statistics
Download this chart Figure B: Contribution to annual growth rate (1.5%), quarter 3 2014
Image .csv .xlsThe main upward contribution to the aggregate SPPI came from Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities where prices increased by 2.0% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014. This was the result of an increase in the prices charged by UK business for Engineering and related services. Engineering and related services prices increased by 2.9% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014, compared with an increase of 2.6% last quarter (Figure C).
Two other notable contributions to the annual aggregate SPPI rate came from Transportation & Storage and Accommodation & Food which increased by 1.4% and 4.1% respectively in the year to quarter 3 of 2014. The increase in Transportation & Storage was caused by increases in Business Air Fares, 3.8% down slightly from an increase of 4.5% in the year to quarter 2 2014, Commercial Vehicle Ferries, 13.1% a slightly smaller increase than 14.2% in the year to quarter 2 2014 and National Post, 4.6% unchanged from the year to quarter 2 of 2014. The increase in Accommodation & Food was caused by an increase in Hotel prices, which rose by 5.7% in the year to quarter 3 of 2014, a significantly smaller increase compared with 12.9% in the year to quarter 2 2014 (Figure D).
Figure C: Services Producer Price Index for Engineering & related services
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure C: Services Producer Price Index for Engineering & related services
Image .csv .xls
Figure D: Services Producer Price Index for Hotels
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure D: Services Producer Price Index for Hotels
Image .csv .xls5. Quarterly inflation
The aggregate SPPI increased by 0.4% between quarter 2 and quarter 3 of 2014, up from a rise of 0.3% between quarter 1 and quarter 2 of 2014.
Seven of the ten sections increased this quarter with the main contribution to the quarterly rate from Professional, Scientific & Technical activities, which increased by 0.9% (Table C and Figure E).
Table C: Quarterly growth rate to quarter 3 2014 (percentage change, latest quarter on previous quarter)
United Kingdom | |
Section | Percentage change |
Water Supply, Sewerage & Waste Management | -0.9 |
Repair & Maintenance of Motor Vehicles | 0.4 |
Transportation & Storage | 0.2 |
Accommodation & Food | -1.3 |
Information & Communication | 0.3 |
Real Estate Activities | 1.0 |
Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities | 0.9 |
Administrative & Support Services | -0.1 |
Education | 0.0 |
Other Services | 0.4 |
Aggregate SPPI | 0.4 |
Source: Office for National Statistics | |
Notes: | |
1. The section-level SPPIs are an aggregate of individual industry level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. They do not provide full coverage of the service sector | |
2. Not all of the industry level SPPIs used to construct the section-level SPPIs are National Statistics |
Download this table Table C: Quarterly growth rate to quarter 3 2014 (percentage change, latest quarter on previous quarter)
.xls (25.6 kB)
Figure E: Contribution to quarterly growth rate (0.4%), quarter 3 2014
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- The section-level SPPIs are an aggregate of the individual industry-level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. They do not provided full coverage of the sections listed
- Not all of the industry-level SPPIs used to construct the section-level SPPIs are National Statistics
Download this chart Figure E: Contribution to quarterly growth rate (0.4%), quarter 3 2014
Image .csv .xlsProfessional, Scientific & Technical Activity prices increased by 0.9% between quarter 2 and quarter 3 of 2014, compared with a fall of 0.1% last quarter. The main contribution to the current quarterly rate came from an increase in prices for Advertising Services, which rose 3.3%, compared with an increase of 0.9% between quarter 1 and quarter 2 of 2014 (Figure F).
Another notable rise was within Real Estate Activity where prices increased by 1.0% between quarter 2 and 3 of 2014, compared with a smaller increase of 0.8% between quarter 1 and 2 of 2014. The main contribution to the current quarter came from Estate Agent Activity prices, which rose by 2.1% in quarter 3, up slightly from a rise of 1.7% last quarter (Figure G). This is the largest increase for Estate Agency Activities since quarter 3 of 2006 when prices rose by 2.4%.
Figure F: Services Producer price Index for Advertising Services
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure F: Services Producer price Index for Advertising Services
Image .csv .xls
Figure G: Services Producer Price Index for Estate Agent Activities
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure G: Services Producer Price Index for Estate Agent Activities
Image .csv .xls6. Net sector aggregate
At the aggregate level, both a net and gross sector Services Producer Price Index is produced. The prices used to construct both of these indices are the same but different weights are used to construct the net sector index compared with the gross sector.
Summary of net sector movements
In quarter 3 of 2014, movements in the net sector aggregate SPPI were as follows:
Annual inflation rose 1.4%, unchanged from quarter 2 of 2014.
Between quarter 2 and 3 of 2014 quarterly inflation rose 0.3%, compared with an increase of 0.4% between quarter 1 and 2 of 2014.
Generally, the movements of the net sector aggregate SPPI are similar to those of the gross sector index with the net sector aggregate tending to inflate at a slightly higher rate than the gross sector index (Figure H).
Figure H: Aggregate Services Producer Price Index (Net & Gross)
United Kingdom
Source: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) - Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- The aggregate SPPI is an aggregate of the individual industry-level SPPIs (excluding Financial Intermediation) published in the SPPI Statistical Bulletin. It does not provide full coverage of the service sector
- Not all of the industry-level SPPIs used to construct the aggregate SPPI are National Statistics