Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 28 November 2024

Early data on the UK economy and society. These faster indicators are created using rapid response surveys, novel data sources and innovative methods. These are official statistics in development.

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Contact:
Email Real Time Indicators team

Release date:
28 November 2024

Next release:
5 December 2024

1. Main points

  • Overall retail footfall decreased by 5% in the week to 24 November 2024 when compared with the previous week and was 10% lower when compared with the equivalent week of 2023 (MRI OnLocation). Section 3: Consumer behaviour.

  • UK credit and debit card payments increased by 4% in the week to 22 November 2024 when compared with the previous week but decreased by 16% when compared with the equivalent week of 2023; total Revolut debit card spending increased by 5% in the week to 10 November 2024 when compared with the equivalent week of 2023 (Bank of England, Revolut). Section 3: Consumer behaviour.

  • The Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) standardised turnover balance estimate decreased by 0.6 percentage points between September and October 2024 (final results from Wave 120 of the BICS). Section 4: Business and workforce.

  • The System Average Price (SAP) of gas increased by 3% to 3.962 pence per kilowatt hour (p/kWh) in the week to 24 November 2024 when compared with the previous week but decreased by 1% when compared with the equivalent week of 2023; the System Price of electricity decreased by 7% to 8.735 p/kWh when compared with the previous week, but increased by 3% when compared with the equivalent week of 2023 (National Gas Transmission, Elexon). Section 5: Energy.

  • The number of ship visits to major UK ports decreased by 11% in the week to 24 November 2024 when compared with the previous week and decreased by 13% when compared with the equivalent week of 2023; the number of UK flights decreased by 3% in the most recent week but was broadly unchanged against the equivalent week of 2023 (exactEarth, EUROCONTROL). Section 6: Transport.

  • The total number of Energy Building Performance Certificates (EPCs) for new dwellings across England and Wales in the week to 24 November 2024 was 5% lower when compared with the equivalent period of 2023 (Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government). Section 7: Housing.

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These are official statistics in development, and we advise caution when using the data. The data sources used to compile these indicators are regularly reviewed to ensure they are representative and relevant, which may mean indicators change at short notice. Read more in Section 10: Data sources and quality.

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2. Latest indicators at a glance

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Notes
  1. Card spending over time is pushed upwards by the impacts of both inflation on value of transactions and cash-to-card conversion. 

  2. Revolut adjustments to user count are at an aggregate level and as such age bands may not adjust evenly. 

  3. Indicators with SA in the title have been seasonally adjusted.

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3. Consumer behaviour

UK credit and debit card payments

Aggregate UK credit and debit card payments increased by 4% in the week to 22 November 2024 compared with the previous week but decreased by 16% when compared with the equivalent week of 2023.

Weekly and monthly UK credit and debit card payment indices are available in our accompanying UK credit and debit payments dataset.

Revolut spending on debit cards

This week sees the reintroduction of our Revolut spending on debit card estimates. These data were paused temporarily to implement an improved methodology and enhanced quality assurance processes for these data. Our Revolut spending on debit card estimates were last updated in January 2024. The estimates published in this release, and in our accompanying dataset, replace those previously available.

Total Revolut debit card spending increased by 5% in the week to 10 November 2024 when compared with the equivalent week of 2023, with the largest increase in the 55 years and over age group, at 14%. Debit card spending by those in the 18 to 34 years age group was broadly unchanged when compared with the equivalent week of 2023.

Our accompanying Revolut spending on debit cards dataset is available.

National retail footfall

High street and shopping centre footfall both decreased in the week to 24 November 2024 by 9% and 2%, respectively, when compared with the previous week, while retail park footfall remained broadly unchanged. When compared with the equivalent week of 2023, both high street and shopping centre footfall decreased by 15% and 9%, respectively, while retail park footfall increased by 1%.

When compared with the previous week, overall retail footfall decreased in all 12 of the UK regions. The largest week-on-week decreases were in Yorkshire and The Humber, the North East and the North West of England, where retail footfall decreased by 13%, 10% and 10%, respectively.

When compared with the equivalent week of 2023, overall retail footfall decreased in all 12 of the UK regions. The largest year-on-year decrease was in the South West of England, which fell by 18%.

The week-on-week and year-on-year decreases in footfall, across all regions, may have been a result of reduced movement surrounding "Storm Bert" and the adverse weather conditions over this period.

Automotive fuel spending

The annual growth rate in average fuel price increased by 1 percentage point in the week to 17 November 2024, compared with the previous week, but was 2 percentage points lower than the equivalent week of 2023.

The annual growth rate in the estimated fuel demand per transaction remained broadly unchanged in the week to 17 November 2024 when compared with both the previous week and the equivalent week of 2023.

Our accompanying Automotive fuel spending dataset is available.

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4. Business and workforce

Business impact and insights

The Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) collects data from selected industries and does not have full coverage of the UK economy. For more information on the industries covered in the BICS sample, see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) Quality and Methodology Information.

To enable comparisons, we have created a reweighted gross domestic product (GDP) estimate, termed as GDP*, which only includes the same industries as those covered within the BICS.

Advanced notification of potential redundancies

The number of potential redundancies in the week to 10 November 2024 was 20% lower than the equivalent week of 2023, calculated as a four-week rolling average. The number of employers proposing redundancies was 18% lower when compared with the same period.

Comparisons with the equivalent period a year ago help to account for any seasonal impacts. For more information, our accompanying Advanced notification of potential redundancies dataset is available.

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5. Energy

System Average Price of gas 

The System Average Price (SAP) of gas increased by 3% in the week to 24 November 2024 compared with the previous week, from a seven-day average price of 3.849 pence per kilowatt hour (p/kWh) to 3.962 p/kWh. This was 1% lower than the equivalent week of 2023, which had a seven-day average price of 4.006 p/kWh.

Our accompanying System Average Price of gas dataset is available.

System Price of electricity

The System Price of electricity decreased by 7% in the week to 24 November 2024 compared with the previous week, from a seven-day average price of 9.409 pence per kilowatt hour (p/kWh) to 8.735 p/kWh. This was 3% higher than the equivalent week of 2023, which had a seven-day average price of 8.493 p/kWh.

Our accompanying System Price of electricity dataset is available.

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6. Transport

Daily UK flights

The daily average number of UK flights decreased by 3% in the week to 24 November 2024 when compared with the previous week but was broadly unchanged against the equivalent week of 2023. The week-on-week decrease may have been because of the adverse weather from "Storm Bert" over the weekend or recent travel disruptions.

Our accompanying Daily UK flights dataset is available.

Weekly shipping indicators

The weekly count of total ships visiting the selected UK ports decreased by 11% in the week to 24 November 2024 when compared with the previous week. For this period, the weekly count of cargo and tanker ship visits decreased by 17%.

When compared with the same week of 2023, the total number of ship visits decreased by 13%, while visits from cargo and tanker ships decreased by 17%.

Again, decreases in ship visits may have been because of the recent adverse weather conditions seen across the UK.

Our accompanying Weekly shipping indicators dataset is available.

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7. Housing

Energy Performance Building Certificates

The total number of Energy Performance Building Certificates (EPCs) in the week to 24 November 2024 was broadly unchanged when compared with the previous week for new dwellings across England and Wales, and was 7% higher for existing dwellings.

The largest week-on-week increases in EPCs for new dwellings were in the North East of England and the East Midlands, which rose by 25% and 12%, respectively. The largest decreases were in the West Midlands and the South East of England, which both fell by 11%.

For EPCs in existing dwellings, the largest week-on-week increases were in the East Midlands and the South West of England, which rose by 51% and 12%, respectively. The largest decrease was in London, which fell by 5%. When compared with the equivalent period of 2023, the total number of EPCs for new dwellings was 5% lower, while the number of EPCs for existing dwellings was 13% higher.

A Weekly EPCs for domestic properties dataset produced by the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government, is available.

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8. Data

System Average Price (SAP) of gas
Dataset | Released 28 November 2024
Daily data showing System Average Price (SAP) of gas, and rolling seven-day average, traded in Great Britain over the On-the-Day Commodity Market (OCM). These are official statistics in development. Source: National Gas Transmission.

System Price of electricity
Dataset | Released 28 November 2024
Daily data showing the System Price of electricity, and rolling seven-day average, in Great Britain. These are official statistics in development. Source: Elexon.

Daily UK flights
Dataset | Released 28 November 2024
Daily data showing UK flight numbers and rolling seven-day average, including flights to, from, and within the UK. These are official statistics in development. Source: EUROCONTROL.

This section lists a selection of data available in this publication. Please note that because of our data sharing agreement with MRI onLocation, we are unable to provide a dataset for our footfall metric. For the full list of available datasets, please see our accompanying dataset page.

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9. Glossary

Real-time indicator

A real-time indicator provides insights into economic activity using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys or experimental estimates, which represent useful economic and social concepts.

Seasonal adjustment

Seasonal adjustment is the identification and removal of consistent and systematic variation in time series associated with the time of year. For more information on seasonal variation, and how we implement seasonal adjustment, see Section 2 of our Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators methodology article.

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10. Data sources and quality

Official statistics in development

These statistics are labelled as official statistics in development. Until September 2023, these were called "experimental statistics". Read more about the change in our Guide to official statistics in development.

We are developing how we collect and produce the data to improve the quality of these statistics. Find out more in our Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators methodology article.

Once the developments are complete, we will review the statistics with the Statistics Head of Profession. We will decide if the statistics are of sufficient quality and value to be published as official statistics, or if further development is needed. Production may be stopped if they are not of sufficient quality or value. Users will be informed of the outcome and any changes.

We value your feedback on these statistics. If you would like to get in touch, please email realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk..

Dataset release dates and intended release frequency

Latest release dates and intended release frequency of our associated datasets are available in this section. Please note that there may be some change to the intended release frequency for a variety of reasons, such as data availability. If you would like further information about any of these datasets, or previous release dates, please email realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk.

Weekly data release

Monthly data release

Quarterly data release

Discontinued data series

  • Transactions at Pret A Manger dataset; last updated on 31 October 2024 with a fortnightly data release; please note these estimates are no longer being updated because of cessation of our data sharing agreement.

  • Online job advert estimates dataset; last updated on 24 October 2024 with a weekly data release; please note these estimates are no longer being updated with alternative data being provided from December 2024.

Strengths and limitations

These statistics have been produced to provide timely indicators of the effect of developing world events on the UK economy and society, using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys, or official statistics in development.

The data presented in this bulletin are reviewed and refreshed on a regular basis. Indicators are swapped in and out of the publication based on their suitability and availability.

Seasonality

Seasonal fluctuations are likely to be present in many of these indicators, so caution must be applied when interpreting changes in series that are not seasonally adjusted.

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12. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), published 28 November 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 28 November 2024

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Contact details for this Statistical bulletin

Real Time Indicators team
realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk