Greenhouse gas emissions, UK: provisional estimates, 2023

Measuring the air emissions generated by UK economic activities.

This is the latest release. View previous releases

Contact:
Email Environment Accounts team

Release date:
17 October 2024

Next release:
To be announced

1. Main points 

  • Provisional 2023 UK greenhouse gas emissions on a residence basis decreased by 3.8% on 2022, having increased 1.2% in 2022.

  • UK emissions were 487 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2e) in 2023 (provisional), 0.3% below emissions in 2020 during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

  • The energy sector saw the largest decrease of all industries, with emissions falling 15.4% to 70 Mt CO2e.

  • The sector with the largest increase was transport, up 3.7% in 2023 compared with 2022; this is the smallest year-on-year change since 2019. 

  • Consumer expenditure remains the largest single contributor at 24.5% of total UK greenhouse gas emissions in 2023, followed by the transport sector at 17.2%.

  • Intensity dropped to 0.18 thousand tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per million pounds of gross value added for the UK; overall emissions intensity increased the most for transport in 2023, up 20.0% from 2022.

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In this release, we refer to residence-based emissions. This is one of three official measures of UK greenhouse gas emissions. Residence-based emissions largely do not account for imported emissions. Territorial emissions, published by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, is the measure used for greenhouse gas emissions targets.

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2. Greenhouse gas emissions

UK provisional greenhouse gas emissions on a residence basis were estimated to be at 487 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2e) in 2023. This is the lowest annual estimate since the start of the time series in 1990. It is below the previous low in 2020 during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, of 488 Mt CO2e.

The energy industry was the largest contributor to this decrease in 2023, falling 15.4% from 2022. This can be attributed to a shift in fuel use from coal towards gas and renewables, as well as an increase in electricity imports.

Emissions from the transport sector continue to rise, however these remain 3.6% below pre-coronavirus pandemic levels.

Emissions from consumer expenditure fell slightly in 2023 compared with 2022, but these remain the single largest contributor to greenhouse gas emissions on a residence basis. Consumer expenditure-related emissions associated with non-travel activities, such as heating, have previously dominated this category, but are now almost the same as for travel activities.

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3. Emissions intensity

Emissions intensity – emissions per unit of economic activity –was an estimated 0.18 thousand tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per million pounds of gross value added in 2023.

This figure has remained stable over the last couple of years. It is the lowest estimate of emissions intensity since 1990, the start of this series, and down 71% between 1990 and 2023.

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4. Data on environmental accounts

Atmospheric emissions: acid rain precursors by industry and gas
Dataset | Released 17 October 2024
The emissions of sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxide, ammonia and total acid rain precursors, by industry (Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) 2007 group - around 130 categories), UK, 1990 to 2022 and (provisional) 2023.

Atmospheric emissions: greenhouse gas emissions by industry and gas
Dataset | Released 17 October 2024
The emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydro-fluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride, nitrogen trifluoride and total greenhouse gas emissions, by industry (SIC 2007 group - around 130 categories), UK, 1990 to 2022 and (provisional) 2023.

Atmospheric emissions: greenhouse gas emissions intensity by industry
Dataset | Released 17 October 2024
Greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide emissions intensity - the level of emissions per unit of economic output, by industry (SIC 2007 group - around 130 categories), UK, 1990 to 2022 and (provisional) 2023.

Atmospheric emissions: other pollutants by industry and gas
Dataset | Released 17 October 2024
The emissions of Particulate Matter 10 (PM10), Particulate Matter 2.5 (PM2.5), carbon monoxide, non-methane volatile organic compound, Benzene and 1,3-Butadiene, by industry (SIC 2007 group - around 130 categories), UK, 1990 to 2022 and (provisional) 2023. 

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5. Data sources and quality

These provisional estimates form part of the UK Environmental Accounts. The UK Environmental Accounts are "satellite" or "extended" accounts, aligned with, but not part of, the main UK National Accounts. They are compiled in accordance with the System of Environmental Economic Accounting (SEEA), as detailed on the United Nations website, which closely follows the UN System of National Accounts (SNA). 

All 2023 data in this release are provisional. To produce provisional 2023 greenhouse gas and other air emissions data, we update 2022 data on activities (for example, distance in kilometers driven by cars) using information on production activities for 2023, where available. We use appropriate proxy information if necessary. We then apply emission factors from 2023 that estimate the mass of emissions associated with those activities (by type of gas or pollutant).

Air emissions

The air accounts in the UK Environmental Accounts are compiled by Ricardo Energy and Environment on behalf of the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The main source of information for this reporting is the National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory (NAEI). This provides air emissions data, calculated from activity data and emission factors, for all relevant sources in the UK as a starting point for generating the air emissions accounts.

The residence principle is then applied to these datasets, which assigns the emissions to an industrial classification based on Standard Industrial Classification: SIC 2007.

Quality 

More quality and methodology information on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in the Environmental accounts on air emissions quality and methodology information (QMI).

Accredited official statistics

These accredited official statistics were independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation in April 2012. They comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics and should be labelled "accredited official statistics".

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7. Cite this statistical bulletin 

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 17 October 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, UK greenhouse gas emissions: provisional estimates, 2023

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Contact details for this Statistical bulletin

Environment Accounts team
environment.accounts@ons.gov.uk
Telephone: +44 1329 444932