Summary

National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.

Publications

• National population projections: 2016-based projections, methodology

  National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.

• National Population Projections: 2016-based statistical bulletin

  National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration.

Data

• Table XB1-6, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Scotland summary

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 0% future EU migration variant - UK summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Wales population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE1-6, 150% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - England and Wales summary

  Principal projection for England and Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - England population in age groups

  High life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Principal projection - UK population in age groups

  Principal projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - Great Britain summary

  High migration variant projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - Wales summary

  Low fertility variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - Scotland summary

  Low migration variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zipped population projections data files, Wales

  Open data for Wales principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• Table XA1-6, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Scotland summary

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low population variant - Scotland summary

  Low population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Table XE1-2, 150% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - England population in age groups

  Principal projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - Scotland summary

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups

  High life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XB1-4, Moderately low life expectancy variant - England summary

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XB2-1, Moderately low life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - Wales population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XA2-6, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High fertility variant - Wales summary

  High fertility variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High life expectancy variant - England summary

  High life expectancy variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Low fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High fertility variant - UK summary

  High fertility variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA1-4, Moderately high life expectancy variant - England summary

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - Wales summary

  Low migration variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zipped population projections data files, England

  Open data for England principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• 0% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - England summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - Great Britain summary

  Principal projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High fertility variant - England summary

  High fertility variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - UK summary

  Low fertility variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA2-5, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE1-4, 150% future EU migration variant - England summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - Great Britain population in age groups

  Principal projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - UK population in age groups

  Low population variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - England summary

  Low population variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - Northern Ireland summary

  Principal projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - Scotland summary

  High population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High migration variant - Scotland summary

  High migration variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low fertility variant - England population in age groups

  Low fertility variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XF1-7, Northern Ireland medium high migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Northern Ireland medium high migration variant projection - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Low migration variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA2-7, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• High migration variant - Wales summary

  High migration variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - UK population in age groups

  Low fertility variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE2-1, 150% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Table XB1-1, Moderately low life expectancy variant - UK summary

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - England population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low life expectancy variant - UK summary

  Low life expectancy variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High fertility variant - England population in age groups

  High fertility variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low fertility variant - Scotland summary

  Low fertility variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Principal projection - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Principal projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - Wales summary

  Low population variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High migration variant - Scotland population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  High migration variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High fertility variant - Scotland summary

  High fertility variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low fertility variant - Wales population in age groups

  Low fertility variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE2-5, 150% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - England summary

  Low life expectancy variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - England population in age groups

  High population variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  High life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - Population by five year age groups and sex.

• High fertility variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  High fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low migration variant - UK population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High life expectancy variant - Scotland summary

  High life expectancy variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - Wales summary

  High life expectancy variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High fertility variant - Wales population in age groups

  High fertility variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High fertility variant - Scotland population in age groups

  High fertility variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - UK population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - England summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Wales summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups

  High life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Principal projection - Scotland summary

  Principal projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XE2-6, 150% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low migration variant - Great Britain summary

  Low migration variant projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low population variant - Wales population in age groups

  Low population variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low migration variant - UK summary

  Low migration variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Calculating State Pension age: Pensions Act 2014

  How the projected subnational population at UK State Pension age can be calculated, accounting for the changes to the State Pension age under the Pensions Act 2014.

• High migration variant - England population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE1-7, 150% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change, summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - UK summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups

  High life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XF2-7, Northern Ireland medium high migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Northern Ireland medium high migration variant projection - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Principal projection - Scotland population in age groups

  Principal projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Table XB2-7, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low migration variant - Wales population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low fertility variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Low fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low population variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Low population variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low migration variant - England summary

  Low migration variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - England summary

  Low fertility variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - England summary

  High population variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Table XA2-4, Moderately high life expectancy variant - England population in age groups

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Table XE1-1, 150% future EU migration variant - UK summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Zipped population projections data files, UK

  Open data for UK principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups

  Low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XB1-7, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XB1-5, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Wales summary

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - UK population in age groups

  High population variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - England summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low fertility variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Low fertility variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XG1-7, Northern Ireland medium low migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Northern Ireland medium low migration variant projection - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Principal projection - UK summary

  Principal projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zipped population projections data files, Great Britain and England and Wales

  Open data for Great Britain and England and Wales principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• High population variant - Wales summary

  High population variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - Scotland population in age groups

  High population variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - UK summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Wales summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• High population variant - Northern Ireland summary

  High population variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change, summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - England population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Low population variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• High life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary

  High life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - UK summary

  High population variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Principal projection - England summary

  Principal projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA1-1, Moderately high life expectancy variant - UK summary

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High migration variant - UK summary

  High migration variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA1-5, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Wales summary

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Scotland summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XB2-6, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Zipped population projections data files, Scotland

  Open data for Scotland principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• Z6 - Zipped population projections data files - extra variants, Northern Ireland

  Open data for Northern Ireland extra variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.

• Table XE2-4, 150% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Low life expectancy variant - England population in age groups

  Low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low life expectancy variant - Wales summary

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA2-1, Moderately high life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - England population in age groups

  Low population variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Low population variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Principal projection - England and Wales population in age groups

  Principal projection for England and Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XB2-4, Moderately low life expectancy variant - England population in age groups

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - UK population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High fertility variant - UK population in age groups

  High fertility variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• National population projections table of contents

  Tools to locate the dataset tables and supporting documentation for the 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020-based interim national population projections. Contains links to the principal and (where available) variant projections for the UK and constituent countries for 100 years ahead.

• Low migration variant - Scotland population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE1-5, 150% future EU migration variant - Wales summary

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Table XE2-2, 150% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• High fertility variant - Northern Ireland summary

  High fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• 50% future EU migration variant - Wales summary

  The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Principal projection - Wales summary

  Principal projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XG2-7, Northern Ireland medium low migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Northern Ireland medium low migration variant projection - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - England summary

  High migration variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• 0% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary

  The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.

• Low migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  Low migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  High migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table J1-2, Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Great Britain summary

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Great Britain - population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table XE2-7, 150% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.

• Table XB2-5, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups

  Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High population variant - Wales population in age groups

  High population variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Table J2-2, Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Great Britain population in age groups

  Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• Low population variant - UK summary

  Low population variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Table XA1-7, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary

  Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• High population variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups

  High population variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.

• High life expectancy variant - UK summary

  High life expectancy variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

• Principal projection - Wales population in age groups

  Principal projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.

Methodology

• 2016-based national population projections consultation papers

Contact details

About the data

Pre-release access list

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