Summary

In addition to the principal projection, variant projections can be produced based on alternative assumptions of future fertility, mortality and net migration. This release presents data from the 10-year average migration variant, high migration variant and low migration variant.

Publications

• Variant subnational population projections for England: 2016-based

  2016-based variant subnational population projections, including a variant based on a 10-year trend of migration data and variants with higher and lower levels of net international migration.

Data

• Subnational population projections – internal migration: SNPP Z5

  Population figures over a 25-year period for internal migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections – births by age of mother: SNPP Z3

  Population figures over a 25-year period on births by age of mother for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• 2016-based subnational population projections: differences between the principal projection and variants, mid-2026 and mid-2041

  Differences in population between principal projection and variant projections.

• Subnational population projections – cross-border migration: SNPP Z6

  Population figures over a 25-year period for cross-border migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections for regions: Table 1

  Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for regions in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections – local authorities: SNPP Z1

  Population figures over a 25-year period, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections incorporating births, deaths and migration for regions and local authorities: Table 5

  Population figures over a 25-year period, including births, deaths and migration by sex for regions and local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Subnational population projections – international migration: SNPP Z7

  Population figures over a 25-year period for international migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections by single year of age – clinical commissioning groups: SNPP Z2

  Population figures over a 25-year period, by single year of age and sex for clinical commissioning groups in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections for local authorities: Table 2

  Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Population projections for clinical commissioning groups and NHS regions: Table 3

  Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for clinical commissioning groups in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

• Subnational population projections – deaths: SNPP Z4

  Population figures over a 25-year period for deaths by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.

Methodology

• Subnational population projections across the UK: a comparison of data sources and methods

  User guidance, uses, assumptions and methodology for the subnational population projections for each constituent country of the UK.

• Methodology used to produce the 2016-based subnational population projections for England

• 2016-based subnational population projections: frequently asked questions

  An article providing answers to questions on the 2016-based subnational population projections.

• Subnational population projections QMI

  Quality and Methodology Information (QMI) report for subnational population projections, detailing the strengths and limitations of the data, methods used, and data uses and users.

Contact details

About the data